The CLAT Blog

The most accurate prediction for CLAT 2017 cut-offs! A million dollar bet, we’ll be right.

Well, well… It’s getting hot, the CLAT results are out and 51,000 CLAT takers are going crazy trying to make sense of their scores and a bunch of test prep companies are ever so eager to play Nostradamus. Before we give you our two cents on this, please fill up your information in the form below and once the official cut offs have been declared, we can help you with selection/decision on which law school to pick (including non-NLUs) and the admission process thereafter. 

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdZBuqf61eQK_ObDlXbPl8v6SQeTIJk2zYC3pJ3Yd9uvqdFFA/viewform?usp=sf_link

Prediction

Time for the truth –  no one & I mean no one can accurately predict a cut-off.

Let’s understand how cut-offs are calculated – first, the scores of all the CLAT takers calculated(reports say about 51,000 registered for the test). These students are then segregated based on categories (General, SC, ST, PH, Domicile). Next, they calculate the rank list for each category i.e. in descending order of score, create a list of students. Since, all NLU’s put together have about 2252 seats – identify the top 2252 (separated for different categories).

Our Career Expert who visited over 200 law schools across the country and has over a decade of experience in the legal industry will give you all the information you need to choose the right law school.
Please fill this form: http://learn.mylaw.net/right-law-school/

Look at the preference for these top rankers and allot each student their highest possible preference, if the student’s score doesn’t qualify him/her for their preference 1, then look at preference 2, and so on.

This is how each college fills up its designated no. of seats. The score of the last rank eligible for admission in a particular college becomes that college’s cut-off. So for e.g. if rank 48 (no. of general seats in NLSIU) scores 145, then 145 is the cut-off for NLSIU.

Now, pray explain, unless you know the scores of all the 51k students who took the CLAT, there’s no way to be able to accurately predict scores for each of the 2270 ranks. In fact it is for this reason that the CLAT organising committee is going to take 10 more days to release the cut-offs – yes, it’s that extensive an exercise.

In the absence of this data, most people resort to what they call educated guesses based on:

  1. Last few years’ pattern – not scientific, because the test paper was different, the people writing the test were different. You can’t predict ‘x”s performance in test ‘A’ by looking at ‘Y’ ‘s performance in test ‘B’. (Yes! Now you know how stupid this is.)
  2. Feedback of a few students that they have spoken to – Statistically speaking that’s how a lot of market research is done, or election results are predicted. The problem is that the sample size in our case is very small (an individual may have spoken to at best a hundred odd CLAT takers) and hence the prediction has a very large margin of error (oh, remember even psephologist – people who predict election results – go wrong, often!). Lastly, unlike elections, predictions here require precision & not a general understanding of trends.
  3.  Their analysis of the difficulty level of the test paper (given that some of them write the test themselves) and what is an achievable score – This is probably seems the vaguest but may actually be relatively more accurate than the above two. However, the operative word here is ‘RELATIVE’.

Of course a lot people will be up in arms (especially the ones who make these predictions) and may claim that their predictions are fairly accurate – my only response to that is that in a test like CLAT – unless your predictions (for each college) is accurate to the 2nd decimal place, it isn’t accurate. Astrologers have for ages relied on Confirmation Bias.

prediction2

All predictions are no more than a hunch –  I’ve been on the other side to know how non-scientific this process is, and to be honest the biggest reason we would issue these ‘guesses masked as predictions’ was to calm down over-anxious kids, because it’s tougher to explain what I have in this post to an anxious 18 yr old (and hundreds & thousands of you) and easier to just throw a number at them – after all who’ll remember if you were right or wrong. The ones who get through would be too busy celebrating & the ones who don’t, too morose to!

I can go on about this – here’s what you need to know, it doesn’t matter what the cut-offs may be, because what is done is done. Most importantly, you cannot influence the results or the outcome (you had your chance until the last minute of that 2 hours), so why worry about something (or second guess with even 80% accuracy) which you will know with 100% certainty in less than 2 weeks.

So chill! Enjoy the next 2 weeks – and if you have other tests to write, then keep at it – give your best shot at your preparation, learn from the mistakes you made with your CLAT prep (or what you did right) – nothing like getting through both CLAT and your back-up plan (engineering, medical, BBA or whatever else), and then decide which one to pursue.

download (3)

My advice for CLAT (& life per se) – As, Unsaintly St. Balotelli once said – “Sometimes in football you deserve to win but lose. Other times you deserve to lose or draw but you win. That is the game, and it’s why I’ve always said you should never try to predict anything in football”. 

Just replace Football with life and you have a tenet for life.

Cheers!

P.S. – And just to justify the headline for this post – here’s my prediction for the CLAT cut-off – it’ll be between 0 & 200 (there is still a .000000001 chance that I may be proven wrong, but I’ll take my chances:). Wanna bet?

Our Career Expert who visited over 200 law schools across the country and has over a decade of experience in the legal industry will give you all the information you need to choose the right law school.

Please fill this form: http://learn.mylaw.net/right-law-school/

11 comments

  • I actually went through the whole thing for this crappy prediction. It’s positive and stuff, but don’t waste people’s time calling it a prediction, call it analysis, or our take on on clat 2016.

      • 🙂 the title is the reason why people are coming to this article. It’s a slightly cheap ploy, but hopefully the rest of the article does justify the ploy. Get the ignorant through the door with a lie & then help them out of their ignorance.

  • Click bait and bull shit. Wasting everyone’s time. No ethics and you ‘re not even apologetic about this. How shitty.

    • Sorry, we wasted your time (truly apologetic). We had two options, a) throw in our hat with the already going around speculation (infact it’s worse than speculation, it’s deception) and issue arbitrary numbers as cut-offs (which clearly nobody has the prescience to predict accurately) or option b) call off the bluff! Your comment makes us believe, we should have gone with the former and pacified people’s morbid curiosity. As far as ethics go? It’s a wonderful word, as Immanuel Kant once said “in law a man is guilty when he violates the rights of others. In ethics he is guilty if he only thinks of doing so”. Alas, we will have to forever live in the ignominy of being the unethical #$@$s. Tsk tsk!

  • Fine article…
    Was worthy to read
    Though the title is a bit misleading, but at last you predicted it right my smart friend (0-200, but there is even negative marking,/so I think -40 to 200 will make the prediction flawless)
    Anyways to talked sense, congrats!!

Get Email Updates